TOP Oss vs Helmond Sport: Helmond's Four Away Losses
Published
TOP Oss meet Helmond Sport in Matchweek 10 of the Eerste Divisie on Friday, 9 October 2026 at Frans Heesen Stadion in Oss, with the visitors having lost all four of their away league matches this season.
Helmond Sport yet to collect an away point
Helmond Sport travel to Oss placed 14th in the table with nine points from nine matches, but their record divides sharply between home and away. On their travels in this division, they have recorded zero wins, zero draws, and four defeats from four fixtures, scoring four goals and conceding nine.
Their recent away trips ended in a 2-0 loss at MVV on 26 September 2026 and a 2-1 defeat at Den Bosch on 18 September 2026. While Helmond Sport have produced goals at home—beating VVV Venlo 4-2, Jong PSV 3-1, and drawing 2-2 with Heracles on 2 October 2026—they have not translated that scoring punch into points on the road. Leading scorer Mauro Lenaerts, who has three goals in all competitions this season, will feature in an attack that averages 1.23 expected goals per game over their last five matches.
Franslyn Nsingi leads TOP Oss home return
TOP Oss sit directly behind their visitors in 15th position, also on nine points from nine games with 12 scored and 14 conceded. Their home results at Frans Heesen Stadion provide their primary foundation in the competition, yielding three wins and one loss from four matches with 10 goals scored and four conceded.
The home side enter this round following a 4-1 home victory over MVV on 3 October 2026, which followed a 3-0 home win against Dordrecht on 18 September 2026. Franslyn Nsingi stands as their primary scoring threat with four goals in all competitions this season. However, chance creation data over their last five matches shows TOP Oss generating 1.11 expected goals while conceding 1.76.
Our model leans narrowly towards a TOP Oss win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a TOP Oss win. That outlook aligns directly with the venue splits: TOP Oss have won three of their four home matches, while Helmond Sport have dropped all four away assignments.
The low confidence in the call reflects the close profile between the two clubs. Helmond Sport sit one place higher on goal difference and earned a 1-1 draw in the most recent meeting between the teams on 6 March 2026, after winning 3-0 in their prior trip to Oss on 31 October 2025. With both sides allowing over 1.7 expected goals per game, defensive concessions remain a factor for each team.
