Roda vs Jong PSV U21: Visitors Still Winless Away
Published
Roda host Jong PSV U21 in Eerste Divisie Matchweek 10 on Friday, 9 October 2026, at Parkstad Limburg Stadion in Kerkrade, with the home side unbeaten on their own ground while the visitors remain winless away from home.
Roda take ten points from twelve at home
Roda sit sixth in the Eerste Divisie with 15 points from nine matches and a goal difference of plus two. Their position in the top third reflects their return at Parkstad Limburg Stadion, where they have recorded three wins and one draw from four matches, scoring seven goals and conceding three. Recent home fixtures produced a 2-0 win against Waalwijk on 26 September 2026 and a 1-0 victory over Vitesse on 12 September 2026.
Roda slipped to a 0-2 defeat against VVV Venlo on 4 October 2026, but their underlying numbers remain stable. Over their last five matches with chance data, Roda have averaged 1.62 expected goals created and 1.43 allowed per game. Marco Tol leads their scoring with two goals in all competitions, and the squad enters Friday with no reported absences.
Jong PSV U21 concede eleven goals away
Jong PSV U21 occupy 12th place with 12 points from nine games, having scored 14 goals and conceded 16. Their travel record accounts for their mid-table standing: in four away fixtures in the division, they have recorded zero wins, one draw, and three defeats, conceding 11 goals while scoring five.
Their last two away fixtures both ended in defeat, falling 1-3 against Helmond Sport on 11 September 2026 and 1-3 against Vitesse on 19 September 2026. Joel Van Den Berg is their leading scorer with two goals this season. Jong PSV U21 have generated chances consistently, producing 1.71 expected goals per match to 1.14 allowed across their last five games with available data, and they have no injury absences listed.
Our model expects a Roda win
Our model expects a Roda win. The call is grounded in the stark split between Roda's home stability and Jong PSV U21's away frailties, with the visitors allowing nearly three goals per game on the road this season. Head-to-head records also favor Roda over recent seasons, with the home side winning four of the last five meetings, including 3-2 victories on 1 April 2024 and 9 December 2024, as well as a 2-1 win on 7 March 2025. Although Jong PSV U21 won the most recent clash 2-0 on 6 March 2026, their current away run gives Roda the advantage.

