Lincoln vs West Ham: Lincoln Still Winless at Home
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Lincoln host West Ham in the Championship on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at LNER Stadium, with the hosts searching for their first home league victory of the campaign.
Lincoln winless in four Championship home matches
Lincoln sit 17th in the Championship table with 11 points from nine matches, having scored seven goals and conceded 11. Their return at LNER Stadium in league play shows zero wins, two draws, and two defeats across four fixtures, with three goals scored and six conceded. Following consecutive 1-0 away victories at Preston on 12 September and Bristol City on 15 September, Lincoln have lost their last two league games: 2-1 at home to Swansea on 19 September and 3-0 away at Sheffield United on 10 October.
Absences add to the difficulty for the home side. Mason Melia and Tendayi Darikwa are both out through injury, while Andrei Coubiș remains doubtful with an injury. Lincoln's top scorer in all competitions is Reeco Hackett-Fairchild with two goals, reflecting an attack that has generated 0.93 expected goals per game over their last five matches with data while allowing 1.14.
West Ham arrive unbeaten on their travels
West Ham enter Matchweek 10 in fifth place with 16 points and a goal difference of plus 11 from nine matches. They have scored 23 goals in the division while conceding 12. Away from home in the Championship, West Ham have not lost in four matches, recording one win and three draws while scoring eight goals and conceding seven.
West Ham drew their previous two Championship games, finishing 2-2 at Millwall on 19 September and 1-1 at home against QPR on 9 October. Prior to that sequence, they recorded a 6-0 home victory against Wrexham on 11 September and a 3-2 away win at Bolton on 8 September, alongside a 3-2 defeat to Fulham in the League Cup on 15 September. Jarrod Bowen leads their scoring with five goals across all competitions this season. West Ham's underlying numbers show high chance volume at both ends, generating 1.87 expected goals and allowing 1.73 per game across their last five recorded fixtures.
The sides previously met on 27 September 2023, when West Ham secured a 1-0 victory over Lincoln.
Our model expects a West Ham win
Our forecasting model expects a West Ham win, assigning medium confidence to the outcome. The projection aligns with the split in venue records: West Ham have taken points from all four of their away league matches, whereas Lincoln have yet to win at home in four Championship attempts. While Lincoln contend with the absences of Darikwa and Melia alongside an attack averaging under one expected goal per match, West Ham enter with a clean injury sheet and 23 league goals already scored this season.

