Girona vs Mallorca: Heavy Absences for Both Sides
Published
Girona host Mallorca in Segunda División on Sunday 4 October 2026 at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, with both clubs level on 13 points from seven matches. Girona sit fifth in the table with a goal difference of plus-six, while Mallorca occupy sixth place with plus-five.
Six Girona players out on international duty
Girona enter the fixture without top scorer Yáser Asprilla, who has scored four goals this season in all competitions. Asprilla is away on international duty alongside Holmes Zamorano, Lass Kourouma, Oleksandr Pyshchur, Vladyslav Krapyvtsov, and Vladyslav Vanat. Bryan Gil is ruled out through injury, while Cristhian Stuani, Fran Beltrán, and Jastin García are doubtful. The home side have won four of their last five league matches, including a 2-0 victory against Albacete on 25 September 2026 and a 2-1 win at Cadiz on 19 September 2026.
Mallorca travel with one available senior goalkeeper
Mallorca manager Luis Garcia deals with severe squad thinning following a training ground incident that left Ivan Cuellar hospitalised with a head injury. With Lucas Bergström away on international duty, Arnau Tenas is the solitary senior goalkeeper available for the trip to Girona. Martin Valjent and Zito Luvumbo are also absent on international duty, while Antoniu Roca, Jan Salas, and Manu Morlanes are out injured, with Abdón Prats doubtful. Mallorca's primary attacking threat Fuentes, who has four goals this season, remains available.
Contrasting defensive metrics across seven matches
Mallorca have conceded three goals in seven Segunda División fixtures, compared to eight conceded by Girona. Over their last five matches with chance data, Mallorca created 1.79 expected goals a game and allowed 1.02. In contrast, Girona generated 1.35 expected goals per game while allowing 1.95. Girona have recorded two wins, one draw, and one defeat from four home games at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, scoring nine goals and conceding five. Mallorca have won once, drawn once, and lost once on their travels, scoring one goal and conceding two. In the previous encounter between the clubs on 1 May 2026, Mallorca secured a 1-0 victory.
Our model leans narrowly towards a Girona win
Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Girona win. Girona have scored 14 goals in seven league games and won four of their last five matches. However, Mallorca have conceded only three times in the division this term, and the loss of Yáser Asprilla alongside five other Girona players on international duty tempers confidence in a home victory.
