Serbia vs Netherlands: Dutch Target Belgrade Win

SerbiaSRB

Luka Jovic 46'

UEFA Nations League

1–2

Full Time

HT 0–1

Stadion Rajko Mitić

Beograd

NetherlandsNED

Mexx Meerdink 30' (pen), 69'

AI ForecastsGraded

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Serbia opened with a narrow defeat and now face a Netherlands side that are unbeaten in five and have scored in every match of that run. The Dutch control possession well and create consistently, while Serbia were overwhelmed defensively in their first outing, conceding 26 shots and a negative expected-goal difference. The key battle is whether Serbia's attack, which created four big chances despite that pressure, can trouble a Dutch backline that has yet to keep a clean sheet in recent internationals. If the visitors settle quickly and impose their rhythm, this could become a long evening for the hosts.

Match ResultAway Win66%

Serbia’s defence was overwhelmed in their first match, conceding a high volume of shots and a big expected-goals deficit, while the Netherlands arrive unbeaten in five, creating more quality chances and dominating possession.

Win or DrawAway or Draw87%

Given the Netherlands’ unbeaten run and Serbia’s defensive frailties displayed in their first game, the visitors look well-placed to avoid defeat, but a home draw cannot be discounted if Serbia find a moment of inspiration in Belgrade.

Total Goals3 or more goals58%

Five of the Netherlands' last six matches have seen at least three goals, and Serbia’s opening fixture also cleared that mark, reflecting attacking intent and defensive leaks on both sides.

High-confidence forecasts have landed of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls.

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	4	2	8
2	Greece	4	2	8
3	Germany	4	1	5
4	Serbia	4	-5	0

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