Czechia vs England: Czechs Winless in Four Matches
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Czechia face England in UEFA Nations League League A Matchday 2 on Tuesday, 29 September 2026 at Fortuna Arena in Praha. The home side enter the match without a victory in their last four outings, having started Group 3 with a 2-1 defeat against Croatia.
Czechia struggle for output over four games
Czechia have failed to win across their past four matches, taking one draw and three defeats. Before their 2-1 loss against Croatia on 26 September 2026, they suffered a 3-0 defeat to Mexico on 25 June 2026, drew 1-1 with South Africa on 18 June 2026, and lost 1-2 to South Korea on 12 June 2026. Across those four fixtures with chance data, Czechia generated an average of 0.81 expected goals while allowing 1.75 expected goals per game. They sit fourth in Group 3 with zero points and a minus-one goal difference.
Kane spearheads high-scoring England attack
England enter Praha following a 3-2 defeat against Spain on 26 September 2026, which left them third in Group 3 with zero points. Thomas Tuchel's side have consistently found the net, scoring 14 goals over their last five competitive fixtures. Striker Harry Kane leads the scoring charts with 7 goals across all competitions this season. England's recent run includes a 6-4 win against France on 18 July 2026, a 1-2 loss to Argentina on 15 July 2026, a 2-1 victory over Norway on 11 July 2026, and a 3-2 win against Mexico on 6 July 2026. While England generate 1.50 expected goals per game over their last five matches, they have conceded an average of 2.09 expected goals per game.
Our model firmly expects an England win
Our forecasting model firmly expects an England win at Fortuna Arena. Czechia's modest chance creation of 0.81 expected goals per game and their four-match winless sequence put them under strain against England's frontline led by Harry Kane. Although England conceded three times against Spain and allow 2.09 expected goals per match, their average of 1.50 expected goals created provides sufficient firepower to take three points away from home.

