Belgium vs France: France Won Both 2024 Meetings

BelgiumBEL

UEFA Nations League

0–1

Full Time

HT 0–0

King Baudouin Stadium

Brussels

FranceFRA

Michael Olise 88'

AI ForecastsGraded

Match of the day · free full analysis

Belgium host France in Brussels with a chance to seize control of the group, but their recent history against Les Bleus is grim: five straight defeats, including a 1-0 loss at the Euros. Kylian Mbappé has seven goals in his last seven internationals and will test a Belgian defence that has conceded in five of seven overall. The tactical duel pits Belgium’s high-possession build-up against France’s devastating counter-attacks, and the opening goal could define an evening where both sides carry genuine attacking menace.

Match ResultAway Win50%

France have won all five previous meetings, are ranked substantially higher in the competition, and bring the in-form Mbappé, who has seven goals in seven internationals this term.

Two-Outcome ResultHome or Away76%

France have conceded just once across their last three away trips and have never lost to Belgium, so they are well placed to avoid defeat in Brussels.

Total Goals3 or more goals63%

Belgium’s recent matches average over three goals, and France’s overall games have surpassed two and a half goals in six of nine, pointing to an end-to-end spectacle despite the visitors’ solid away defence.

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Belgium vs France: France Won Both 2024 Meetings

Published Mon 28 Sept

Belgium host France in the UEFA Nations League on Monday, 28 September 2026, at King Baudouin Stadium in Brussels, with both sides entering after victories in League A Group 1.

France won both meetings in 2024

France enter this match having defeated Belgium in both of their Nations League encounters during the 2024 edition. France secured a 2-0 victory on 9 September 2024, followed by a 2-1 win on 14 October 2024. The away side started their current campaign with a 1-0 win away at Türkiye on 25 September 2026, placing them second in Group 1 with three points and one goal scored with none conceded.

Belgium lead Group 1 after a 2-0 win over Italy

Belgium sit top of Group 1 with three points and a plus-two goal difference following a 2-0 victory away at Italy on 25 September 2026. The home attack has averaged 2.16 expected goals per match over their last five games with chance data, while allowing 1.62 expected goals. Top scorer Romelu Lukaku enters the match with three goals in all competitions this season, leading a forward line that produced four wins in their last five outings.

Kylian Mbappé brings 11 goals into Brussels

Kylian Mbappé leads the French attack having scored 11 goals in all competitions this season. France have created 1.76 expected goals per game while conceding 1.13 across their last five matches with available chance data. That defensive record showed in their 1-0 away victory over Türkiye, giving France one win from one away fixture in the current competition.

Our model expects a France win

Our model expects a France win, reflecting medium confidence in the away side. That call aligns with France winning the previous two head-to-head fixtures against Belgium in 2024 by scores of 2-0 and 2-1, alongside a defensive record that allows 1.13 expected goals per game compared to Belgium's 1.62. However, Belgium's 2-0 away win at Italy and Romelu Lukaku's presence give the home side genuine threat after scoring 15 goals across their past five fixtures.

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	France	4	5	10
2	Italy	4	3	7
3	Belgium	4	1	6
4

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	France	4	5	10
2	Italy	4	3	7
3	Belgium	4	1	6
4