Denmark vs Portugal: Visitors Seek Third Straight Win

DenmarkDEN

Mikkel Damsgaard 23'
Rasmus Hojlund 53'

UEFA Nations League

2–4

Full Time

HT 1–2

Parken

København

PortugalPOR

João Cancelo 13'
Gonçalo Ramos 25'
Vitinha 67'
Joao Felix 87'

AI ForecastsGraded

Denmark meet Portugal in Copenhagen at a neutral venue, but the away side arrive as group leaders with two wins from two. Portugal's defensive solidity — just one goal conceded — has been the foundation, while Denmark's backline looked vulnerable in their 3-2 defeat last time…

Match ResultAway Win46%

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Match Stats

Top Stats

0.76xG2.25

54%Possession46%

12 (3)Shots (on target)19 (10)

1Big Chances Created6

Attacking Play

44Final Third Entries51

25Penalty Area Entries23

Possession & Passing

527 · –Passes (accuracy)449 · –

3Corners7

16Poss. Won — Def 3rd17

18Poss. Won — Mid 3rd16

Duels & Pressing

42 (60%)Duels Won28 (40%)

16 (70%)Aerial Duels Won7 (30%)

42Ball Recoveries41

13.9PPDA (Pressing)16.8

Defending & Discipline

6Saves1

6Fouls12

Denmark vs Portugal: Visitors Seek Third Straight Win

Published Thu 1 Oct

Denmark host Portugal in League A Matchday 3 of the UEFA Nations League on Thursday, 1 October 2026 at Parken in København, with the visitors sitting top of Group 4 after back-to-back victories.

Portugal take maximum points from their opening two games

Portugal hold first place in League A - Group 4 with six points from two matches, having scored three goals and conceded once. Their campaign opened with a 1-0 home win over Wales on 24 September 2026, followed by a 2-1 victory away at Norway on 27 September 2026. Across their last five matches with available chance data, Portugal created 1.28 expected goals per game while conceding 1.66. Cristiano Ronaldo leads the squad with three goals in all competitions this season, heading into an away fixture where Portugal already hold a record of one win from one match.

Denmark recover after five-goal opening loss

Denmark sit third in Group 4 with three points from their first two fixtures, scoring four goals and conceding three. After opening the group stage with a 3-2 defeat away at Norway on 24 September 2026, the home side answered on 27 September 2026 with a 2-0 win over Wales. That victory maintained an unblemished home record in this competition, with one win from one game and two goals scored without reply at Parken.

Previous encounters shared across two 2025 meetings

The two nations split their recent meetings in March 2025. Denmark took a 1-0 home victory on 20 March 2025, before Portugal answered three days later with a 5-2 win on 23 March 2025. Over those two matches, Portugal scored five goals to Denmark's three.

Our model expects a Portugal win

Our forecasting model expects a Portugal win. The visitors hold a three-point lead over Denmark in Group 4 following consecutive wins against Wales and Norway. While Portugal allowed 1.66 expected goals per match across their last five games with chance data, Denmark have already conceded three goals in two group fixtures. Denmark's 2-0 shutout against Wales at Parken confirms their domestic stability, but Portugal's 2-1 win in Norway demonstrated their capacity to collect points on the road.

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