Croatia vs England: Kane Leads Potent England Attack

CroatiaCRO

UEFA Nations League

0–7

Full Time

HT 0–4

Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka

EnglandENG

Harry Kane 8', 53'
Jude Bellingham 21'
Anthony Gordon 39'
Bukayo Saka 45', 68'
Morgan Rogers 87'

AI ForecastsGraded

A neutral venue in Rijeka hosts a repeat of recent tournament meetings, with England seeking to maintain their hold over Croatia after wins in the last three competitive encounters. Croatia have been resilient in attack — scoring in five of their last six — but their underlying…

Match ResultAway Win52%

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Match Stats

Top Stats

1.39xG6.43

36%Possession64%

12 (1)Shots (on target)19 (10)

1Big Chances Created11

Attacking Play

34Final Third Entries86

14Penalty Area Entries34

Possession & Passing

422 · –Passes (accuracy)745 · –

1Corners6

31Poss. Won — Def 3rd25

13Poss. Won — Mid 3rd23

Duels & Pressing

32 (40%)Duels Won48 (60%)

5 (63%)Aerial Duels Won3 (38%)

52Ball Recoveries59

18.9PPDA (Pressing)12.5

Defending & Discipline

3Saves1

10Fouls6

Croatia vs England: Kane Leads Potent England Attack

Published Fri 2 Oct

Croatia host England in the UEFA Nations League on Saturday, 3 October 2026, at Stadion HNK Rijeka in Rijeka, three months after England defeated Croatia 4-2 on 17 June 2026.

Both sides sit on three points after two matches in League A - Group 3, separated only by goal difference. England hold second place with four goals scored and three conceded, while Croatia sit third having scored three and conceded five.

Croatia seek defensive stability after Spain defeat

Croatia began their group campaign with a 2-1 away victory against Czechia on 26 September 2026, but conceded heavily three days later in a 4-1 loss away at Spain. Across their last five matches with chance data, Croatia have created 0.83 expected goals a game while conceding 1.14.

That loss in Spain ended a competitive run that included World Cup victories against Ghana (2-1 on 27 June) and Panama (1-0 on 23 June), alongside a 2-1 defeat to Portugal on 2 July. In Rijeka, Croatia look to correct the defensive issues that produced five goals conceded across their first two Nations League fixtures.

Harry Kane leads England after Czechia clean sheet

England travel with Harry Kane in strong form, with the forward having scored 8 goals this season in all competitions. After opening Group 3 with a 3-2 home defeat to Spain on 26 September, England responded on 29 September by winning 2-0 away at Czechia. That victory maintained England's perfect away record in this edition of the competition, with one win, two goals scored, and none conceded from one trip.

England generate significant attacking output, averaging 1.46 expected goals created per game across their last five matches with data, though they have allowed 1.79. Recent high-scoring fixtures include a 6-4 away win over France on 18 July and a 2-1 victory against Norway on 11 July, alongside a 2-1 defeat to Argentina on 15 July.

Our model expects an England win

Our forecasting model expects an England win for this fixture. England's higher chance creation of 1.46 expected goals per game compares favourably to Croatia's 0.83, while Harry Kane's finishing form offers an established route to goal. England also hold recent success in this matchup having defeated Croatia 4-2 in June, although their 1.79 expected goals conceded per match suggests Croatia will find opportunities to test the away defence.

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