Belgium vs Türkiye: Visitors Lose First Two in Group

BelgiumBEL

Kevin De Bruyne 10', 59'
Romelu Lukaku 76'

UEFA Nations League

3–0

Full Time

HT 1–0

Stade Maurice Dufrasne

Luik

TürkiyeTUR

AI ForecastsGraded

Belgium arrive at this neutral-venue clash in Liège sitting second in Group 1 after a vital away win, while Türkiye are rooted to the bottom with two defeats and a leaky defence. Kevin De Bruyne’s return to the national side has restored control in midfield, but the Turkish…

Match ResultHome Win62%

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Match Stats

Top Stats

1.58xG1.38

54%Possession46%

17 (10)Shots (on target)23 (8)

1Big Chances Created2

Attacking Play

41Final Third Entries50

20Penalty Area Entries32

Possession & Passing

521 · –Passes (accuracy)443 · –

2Corners5

32Poss. Won — Def 3rd24

15Poss. Won — Mid 3rd22

Duels & Pressing

42 (41%)Duels Won61 (59%)

10 (56%)Aerial Duels Won8 (44%)

62Ball Recoveries63

15.6PPDA (Pressing)12.3

Defending & Discipline

8Saves7

12Fouls12

Belgium vs Türkiye: Visitors Lose First Two in Group

Published Fri 2 Oct

Belgium host Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 2 October 2026 at Stade Maurice Dufrasne in Luik, with the away team seeking their first points of the campaign.

Türkiye sit bottom after conceding five goals

Türkiye occupy fourth place in League A Group 1 after losing both of their opening fixtures. They opened the group with a 1-0 home defeat against France on 25 September 2026 before suffering a 4-1 home loss to Italy on 28 September 2026. Across those two fixtures, they have scored once and conceded five times.

Barış Alper Yılmaz remains their top scorer across all competitions this season with two goals. Over their last five matches with recorded data, Türkiye have generated 1.90 expected goals per game while allowing 1.45, yet they have suffered four defeats in that span dating back to their 2-0 loss to Australia and 1-0 defeat to Paraguay in June 2026.

Belgium split their opening fixtures

Belgium sit second in the group table with three points and a plus-one goal difference. They began League A with a 2-0 away victory over Italy on 25 September 2026, where Mika Godts scored the first goal, but followed that result with a 1-0 home defeat against France on 28 September 2026.

That loss left Belgium's record at home in this competition at one defeat from one match, with zero goals scored and one conceded. Striker Romelu Lukaku leads the squad with three goals in all competitions this season. Across their previous five matches, Belgium have produced 1.58 expected goals per game while giving up 1.82.

Our model firmly expects a Belgium win

Our forecasting model firmly expects a Belgium win. Türkiye enter the tie having lost four of their last five matches in all competitions and having conceded five goals in two group fixtures. Belgium have already collected three points from their win over Italy and conceded only once across their two games in the section.