Kosovo vs Austria: Group 3 Rematch in Pristina
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Kosovo host Austria in League B Matchday 4 of the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026, at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri in Prishtinë (Pristina). The encounter comes seven days after the sides met in Vienna, where Austria secured a 3-1 win.
Austria hold top spot with eight goals scored
Austria lead League B Group 3 with seven points from three fixtures, recording a goal difference of +4 after scoring eight times and conceding four. Before a 2-2 away draw against Republic of Ireland on 1 October, Austria started the campaign with consecutive 3-1 home victories over Israel on 24 September and Kosovo on 27 September. Romano Schmid leads the squad in scoring this season with two goals across all competitions.
Away from home in this competition, Austria have drawn their only fixture 2-2. Over their last five matches with chance data, Austria have generated an average of 1.55 expected goals while conceding 1.53, pointing to high event rates at both ends of the pitch.
Kosovo seek ground after away draw in Israel
Kosovo sit second in the group on four points from three matches, carrying a goal difference of -1 from two goals scored and three allowed. Franco Foda's side began their campaign at Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri with a 1-0 win against Republic of Ireland on 24 September before losing 3-1 in Austria and drawing 0-0 away to Israel on 1 October.
Kosovo hold a 100% record at their Prishtinë home in this tournament, having kept a clean sheet in their sole outing. Across their last three matches with chance data, they have created 1.60 expected goals per game while limiting opponents to 0.92, outperforming Austria in net expected goal differential despite trailing them by three points in the standings.
Our model leans narrowly towards an Austria win
Our model leans narrowly towards an Austria win. The call reflects Austria's position atop Group 3 and their 3-1 win in the reverse fixture on 27 September, though Kosovo's home record of one win with zero goals conceded keeps the contest closely balanced.

