Republic of Ireland vs Israel: One Week After 3-0
Published
Republic of Ireland face Israel in the UEFA Nations League on Sunday, 4 October 2026, at Gradski stadion Backa Topola in Backa Topola, one week after beating them 3-0 in their first encounter of the window.
Three first-half goals on 27 September
Republic of Ireland defeated Israel 3-0 away on 27 September 2026. Troy Parrott scored the opener in the 14th minute, Adam Idah added a second two minutes later, and Jack Moylan made it three in the 25th minute. The Irish followed that result with a 2-2 home draw against Austria on 1 October 2026, leaving them third in League B - Group 3 with four points from three games and a plus-two goal difference. Parrott leads the Irish scoring charts this season with three goals in all competitions.
Israel winless with 0.40 expected goals
Israel sit fourth in League B - Group 3 with one point from three games, having scored once and conceded six goals. They drew 0-0 at home against Kosovo on 1 October 2026 after beginning the international window with a 3-1 loss away to Austria on 24 September. Across their last three matches with chance data, Israel generated an average of 0.40 expected goals per game while allowing 1.67.
Lawal doubtful and Abankwah suspended
For Republic of Ireland, James Abankwah is unavailable due to suspension, while Bosun Lawal is doubtful with an injury. Israel travel without goalkeeper Daniel Peretz and Idan Toklomati, who are both ruled out through injury. Defender Roy Revivo remains doubtful with an injury issue.
Our model expects a Republic of Ireland win
Our model expects a Republic of Ireland win. The call reflects the previous meeting on 27 September when Ireland established a three-goal advantage inside 25 minutes. In addition, Ireland have generated 1.15 expected goals per game across their last three matches with chance data, whereas Israel have managed 0.40 and remain without a victory in the group.

