Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC: Five Straight Victories

Castellón

Israel Suero 2'

Segunda División

1–1

Full Time

HT 1–0

Nou Estadi Castalia

Castellón de la Plana

AD Ceuta FC

Jordi Escobar 53'

AI ForecastsGraded

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Castellón are flying at the top of the table with five straight wins and a watertight defence that has shipped just two goals all season. AD Ceuta, by contrast, are winless in five and have the worst away record in the division, leaking nearly four goals per game on their travels. The head-to-head history is surprisingly lively, with the last three meetings all ending in high-scoring draws, suggesting Ceuta can cause problems even when outclassed. Ousmane Camara leads the line for the hosts with four goals, while Carlos Hernández carries Ceuta's threat with four of his own. The question is whether Castellón's relentless pressure can finally break the pattern of drawn thrillers.

Match ResultHome Win76%

Castellón are in imperious form with five consecutive victories and have conceded only twice all season, while Ceuta have lost all three away games by heavy margins.

Win or DrawHome or Draw91%

Ceuta have yet to avoid defeat on the road this season and face the league's most in-form side, making Castellón strong favourites to take at least a point.

Total Goals3 or more goals69%

All three recent head-to-heads produced at least three goals, and Ceuta's porous away defence combined with Castellón's two-goal-per-game home average points to an open contest.

High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC: Five Straight Victories

Published Sat 3 Oct

Castellón host AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División on Sunday 4 October 2026 at Nou Estadi Castalia in Castellón de la Plana, having won their last five league matches. The home side sit second in the table with 19 points from seven fixtures, having conceded two goals all season.

Castellón have not conceded at home in three matches

Castellón enter matchweek 8 with an unbeaten home record of two wins and one draw from three games, scoring seven goals without conceding. Their overall defensive record stands at two goals allowed in seven matches, backed by chance quality figures of 2.61 expected goals created and 0.93 allowed per game over their last five matches with data.

Top scorer Ousmane Camara leads their attack with four goals in all competitions. In their most recent league outing on 28 September 2026, Castellón secured a 2-0 win away at Leganes, following a 5-0 home victory against Tenerife on 19 September 2026.

AD Ceuta FC have lost all three away games

AD Ceuta FC sit 21st in the standings with four points from seven games and a goal difference of -11. On the road, they have three defeats from three matches in the Segunda División, conceding 11 goals and scoring twice. Their last away fixture was a 3-1 defeat at Burgos on 11 September 2026, preceded by a 3-0 loss at Mallorca on 30 August 2026.

The visitors halted a three-match losing streak with a 1-1 draw against Valladolid on 20 September 2026 and a 3-1 home win over Real Sociedad II on 26 September 2026. Top scorer Carlos Hernández matches Camara with four goals across all competitions this season, though Ceuta have created 1.05 expected goals while conceding 1.67 per game over their last five matches with chance data. Previous meetings between the sides produced shared points, including a 1-1 draw on 9 May 2026 and a 3-3 draw on 14 September 2025.

Our model firmly expects a Castellón win

Our model firmly expects a Castellón win. The call reflects the contrast in form between Castellón's five-game winning streak and Ceuta's zero points taken away from home this season. While the two previous meetings between the clubs ended in draws, Castellón's record of zero goals conceded at Nou Estadi Castalia and an expected goal difference of +1.68 per game support the forecast.

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