Mallorca vs Las Palmas

Mallorca meet Las Palmas in Segunda División action on Sunday 11 October 2026 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in Palma de Mallorca, with the visitors missing eight first-team players through injury.

Eight injuries leave Las Palmas depleted

Las Palmas travel to Palma de Mallorca without Ale García, Enrique Clemente, Jeremía Recoba, Marvin Park, Sandro Ramírez, Sergio Ruiz, Viti, and top scorer Jesé Rodríguez, who leads the club with two goals this season. The away side sits 11th in the table with 11 points from eight games, conceding 13 goals while scoring 12. Over their last five outings with chance data, Las Palmas produced an average of 0.90 expected goals per game while allowing 1.47. They enter this fixture without a win in their last three league matches, having drawn 2-2 against Valladolid on 4 October, lost 3-2 at Eibar on 27 September, and fallen 2-1 at home to Burgos on 20 September.

Mallorca lean on strong home defence

Mallorca sit sixth in the standings with 14 points from eight fixtures, backed by a defensive record that has conceded only three goals all season. At Estadi Mallorca Son Moix in this competition, the hosts have won three of their four matches, scoring seven goals and conceding only one. Fuentes leads the attack with four goals across all competitions. While Mallorca were held to a 0-0 draw at Girona on 4 October and lost 1-0 to Almeria on 27 September, they generate 1.35 expected goals per game compared to 1.18 conceded over their last five matches with data. The hosts manage three injury absences of their own, missing Antoniu Roca, Jan Salas, and Manu Morlanes.

Mallorca hold recent head-to-head edge

Mallorca have won each of the past three meetings between the sides. On 16 February 2025, Mallorca defeated Las Palmas 3-1, following a 3-2 victory on 23 November 2024 and a 1-0 win on 11 May 2024. The sides also drew 1-1 on 12 August 2023.

Our model expects a Mallorca win

Our model expects a Mallorca win with medium confidence. That assessment aligns with Mallorca's record of three wins from four home matches, coupled with Las Palmas missing eight players including Jesé Rodríguez. Las Palmas have also conceded 1.47 expected goals per game across their recent sequence, providing Mallorca an opportunity to extend their three-game winning run in this head-to-head matchup.