Tenerife vs Girona

Tenerife face Girona in the Segunda División on Monday 12 October 2026 at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz in Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife), with the hosts looking to halt a three-match winless sequence.

Tenerife without suspended Juanjo after three winless matches

Tenerife sit 13th in the Segunda División table with 11 points from eight games, having scored 10 and conceded 12. Their last outing ended in a 3-2 defeat away at Cordoba on 5 October 2026, preceded by a 1-1 home draw against Cadiz on 26 September and a 5-0 defeat away at Castellón on 19 September. Across their last five matches with chance data, Tenerife created 0.96 expected goals per match while conceding 1.47.

For this fixture, Tenerife lose Juanjo through suspension, while Jesús Álvarez is doubtful due to injury. Top scorer Enric Gallego, who has five goals across all competitions this season, leads their forward line. On home soil, Tenerife have recorded two wins, one draw, and one defeat from four games, scoring four goals and conceding two.

Girona travel with two away victories from three

Girona hold seventh position in the table with 14 points from eight fixtures and a positive goal difference of six, having scored 14 times and conceded eight. They enter Monday following a 0-0 home draw against Mallorca on 4 October 2026 and a 2-0 home victory against Albacete on 25 September. In their three Segunda División away trips this season, Girona have won two and lost one, scoring five and allowing three, including a 2-1 win at Cadiz on 19 September and a 2-0 victory away at Sporting Gijon on 5 September.

Attacking output has been led by Yáser Asprilla, who has four goals in all competitions. However, Girona manage fitness concerns of their own, with Cristhian Stuani and Jastin García both doubtful through injury. Girona have also allowed 1.84 expected goals against 1.11 created per match over their last five fixtures with data.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Girona win

Our forecasting model leans narrowly towards a Girona win. Girona's away record of two wins from three outings and their standing eight places above Tenerife in the table support the selection. Even so, Tenerife's disciplined home record of two goals conceded in four games, combined with Girona conceding 1.84 expected goals per game over their last five matches, keeps the contest competitive.