England vs Czechia

England host Czechia in the UEFA Nations League at Wembley Stadium in London on Tuesday, 6 October 2026, just seven days after winning 2-0 in the reverse fixture.

England score nine goals across two consecutive victories

England enter the match second in League A - Group 3 with six points from three games and a plus-eight goal difference. Since losing 3-2 at home to Spain on 26 September 2026, the home side have scored nine goals without conceding. They defeated Czechia 2-0 on 29 September 2026 before sweeping past Croatia 7-0 on 3 October 2026. Striker Harry Kane leads England with 10 goals in all competitions this season, spearheading an attack that has generated 2.47 expected goals per game over their last five matches with chance data. In squad news, midfielder Nico O'Reilly is doubtful due to an injury.

Czechia arrive bottom of the group with zero points

Czechia sit fourth in League A - Group 3 after three straight defeats in the competition, having scored two goals and conceded seven. Their campaign began with a 2-1 defeat against Croatia on 26 September 2026, followed by the 2-0 loss to England on 29 September 2026 and a 3-1 away loss to Spain on 3 October 2026. Across their last five matches with chance data, Czechia have averaged 0.65 expected goals created while allowing 1.67 per game. Their squad is further depleted as Ladislav Krejcí misses out through suspension, while Adam Karabec is doubtful with an injury.

Our model firmly expects an England win

Our model firmly expects an England win. That forecast reflects the contrasting output between the two sides across the tournament. England have generated 2.47 expected goals per match and scored nine times in their last two outings, including the 2-0 victory against Czechia on 29 September 2026. In contrast, Czechia have lost all three group fixtures, average just 0.65 expected goals created per game, and will be without the suspended Ladislav Krejcí.