RB Bragantino vs Mirassol

RB Bragantino face Mirassol in Serie A on Wednesday, 7 October 2026 at Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques in Braganza, entering the fixture without a win in their last five league outings.

RB Bragantino face five absences

The hosts sit 11th in the table with 36 points from 28 matches, but enter this round having taken one point from their previous five fixtures. RB Bragantino lost 1-2 at Sao Paulo on 29 August, 2-3 at home to Bahia on 5 September, drew 1-1 at Botafogo on 12 September, and suffered consecutive away defeats at Flamengo (1-2 on 20 September) and Atlético Mineiro (0-1 on 3 October). Over their last five games with chance data, they generated 1.01 expected goals per match while conceding 1.80.

Squad options are further thinned by five confirmed absences. Ignacio Sosa misses out through suspension, while Alix, Davi Gomes, Patrick, and Rodriguinho are sidelined by injury. Top scorer Isidro Pitta, who has five goals across all competitions this season, leads the attack for a side that has won six, drawn two, and lost five of its 13 home matches in Serie A.

Mirassol bring away struggles to Braganza

Mirassol sit 15th with 32 points from 28 games, holding a goal difference of -9. Their recent run includes seven points from their past three matches: a 2-1 away victory against Coritiba on 6 September, a 2-2 home draw with Vitoria on 13 September, and a 2-0 home win over Botafogo on 19 September. Across their last five matches with data, Mirassol generated 1.22 expected goals per game and conceded 1.64.

Travel remains an obstacle for Mirassol, who have lost eight of their 13 away fixtures in Serie A, winning two and drawing three while scoring 12 goals and conceding 21. They will also be without José Aldo and Negueba due to injuries. Eduardo represents their primary finishing threat with six goals in all competitions this season.

Head-to-head favours RB Bragantino

Recent meetings between these sides have tilted towards RB Bragantino, who are unbeaten in the last three encounters. RB Bragantino secured a 1-0 home victory on 5 May 2025, followed by a 1-1 draw on 1 October 2025. In their most recent clash on 5 April 2026, RB Bragantino recorded a 1-0 away win against Mirassol.

Our model expects a RB Bragantino win

Our model expects a RB Bragantino win with medium confidence. Mirassol have dropped eight of 13 away fixtures in the league and have failed to defeat RB Bragantino in their past three head-to-head matches. Although RB Bragantino are winless in five games and missing five players through injury and suspension, their home record of six wins from 13 games and previous defensive control in this fixture support the model's call.