Eldense vs Cordoba

Eldense host Cordoba in the Segunda División on Saturday, 10 October 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat in Elda, following a 4-1 home victory over Oviedo.

Eldense balance four fitness issues with recent scoring

Eldense sit 17th in the Segunda División table with eight points from eight fixtures. The home side enter the contest with four medical concerns across the squad: Mariano Carmona is ruled out through injury, while David Ruiz, Pau Cabanes, and Roberto López are listed as doubtful. Despite those selection questions, Eldense found form in their last outing, defeating Oviedo 4-1 on 2 October 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat. In their four home league fixtures this campaign, they have recorded one victory, two draws, and one defeat, scoring seven times and conceding five. Across their last five matches with chance data, Eldense have produced 1.36 expected goals per match while restricting opponents to 0.91.

Cordoba concede heavily despite Percan's goals

Cordoba hold 15th position with nine points, one point above Eldense, but have conceded 18 goals across their opening eight league fixtures. On their travels in the Segunda División, they have lost three of four matches, allowing 10 goals in the process, including a 3-1 loss at Valladolid on 27 September 2026 and a 3-2 defeat at Sabadell on 7 September 2026. Top scorer Percan has scored three goals in all competitions this season, helping Cordoba generate 1.64 expected goals per game over their last five outings. However, they have conceded an average of 2.04 expected goals in that sequence. The visitors will also be without Adilson and Jacobo Marti, who are both sidelined through injury.

Our model leans towards an Eldense win

Our model leans narrowly towards an Eldense win. While Cordoba remain unbeaten in the recent head-to-head record between the sides—earning a 2-0 victory on 26 October 2024 and a 1-1 draw on 26 April 2025—their away defensive numbers offer clear encouragement for the hosts. Cordoba's 2.04 expected goals conceded per match contrasts with Eldense's defensive stability of 0.91 expected goals allowed, though Eldense's four injured or doubtful players temper overall expectations.