Burgos vs Granada CF: Hosts Undefeated at Home

BurgosBUR

Segunda División

0–1

Full Time

HT 0–1

Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos

Granada CFGRA

Pedro Alemañ 25'

AI ForecastsGraded

Burgos have been hard to beat at El Plantío, with three wins and a draw from four at home, while Granada arrive on a poor run of one win in their last five and no clean sheet in six. Granada create the better chances and dominate possession, but Burgos are more economical and…

Match ResultHome Win40%

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Key facts

Burgos have scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches
Burgos rank 3rd in this competition's home table this season
Alex Forés has the most shots on target per match for Burgos this season (1)
Granada CF have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches
Granada CF haven't kept a clean sheet in their last 6 matches
José Arnáiz has created the most big chances for Granada CF this season (4)

As they stood before kick-off.

Burgos vs Granada CF: Hosts Undefeated at Home

Published Sun 11 Oct

Burgos play Granada CF in the Segunda División on Monday 12 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, carrying an unbeaten home record into Matchweek 9.

Burgos unbeaten at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos sit seventh in the table with 14 points from eight matches, having won three and drawn one of their four home fixtures while scoring nine goals and conceding five. Their sequence was interrupted on 3 October 2026 in a 1-2 away loss at Almeria, but at home they have produced victories over Eldense (1-0 on 27 September 2026) and AD Ceuta FC (3-1 on 11 September 2026). Top scorer Álex Forés leads their attack with three goals across all competitions this season, though defensive options are limited with Grego Sierra, Marcelo Expósito, and Sergio González all doubtful due to injury.

Granada CF trade goals at both ends

Granada CF travel in ninth place with 11 points and an even goal difference of 13 scored and 13 conceded across eight games. Their recent outings have seen sustained open play at both ends, including a 3-2 victory away at Real Sociedad II on 4 October 2026 after consecutive 2-3 defeats against FC Andorra and Leganes. Top scorer José Arnáiz has two goals this season, while forward Alejandro Marqués is doubtful through injury. Over their last five matches with chance data, Granada CF generated 1.97 expected goals a game while allowing 1.65, contrasting sharply with Burgos, who created 1.19 and allowed 1.07. In five away league fixtures, Granada CF have recorded two wins, one draw, and two defeats.

Four straight meetings without a Burgos defeat

The head-to-head record between these clubs has leaned away from Granada CF over the past two seasons. Burgos claimed a 1-0 victory in the most recent encounter on 16 May 2026. Prior to that, the sides played out three consecutive draws: 1-1 on 22 September 2025, 0-0 on 10 January 2025, and 2-2 on 29 September 2024.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Burgos win

Our model leans narrowly towards a Burgos win. The forecast is supported by Burgos taking 10 points from a possible 12 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, alongside an active four-match unbeaten run against Granada CF. The low confidence reflects Granada CF's high attacking output of 1.97 expected goals per match and fitness doubts over Burgos defenders Grego Sierra, Marcelo Expósito, and Sergio González.

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