Cadiz vs Sporting Gijon

Cadiz host Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División on Sunday 11 October 2026 at JP Financial Estadio in Cádiz, with the visitors missing top scorer Antonio Casas among five confirmed absences.

Sporting Gijon missing Antonio Casas and four others

Sporting Gijon sit eighth in the table with 13 points from eight games, but injuries have hit their squad ahead of this trip. Antonio Casas, who leads the side with three goals this season in all competitions, is ruled out with an injury alongside Juan Otero, Konrad de la Fuente, Nacho Martín, and Nikita Iosifov. In addition, Andrés Ferrari and Hugo Guillamón are doubtful. Although Sporting won their last match 3-2 against Celta de Vigo II on 4 October and have taken two wins from three away fixtures in the division, these absences remove multiple options across the pitch.

Cadiz build on four-goal win over Leganes

Cadiz enter Matchweek 9 in 19th position with seven points from eight games, but their form has shifted following a 4-0 home victory over Leganes on 3 October and a 1-1 draw at Tenerife on 26 September. Those results followed three straight defeats in September against Almeria (2-3), Las Palmas (0-1), and Girona (1-2). Top scorer Antoñito Cordero has three goals in all competitions, leading an attack that averages 1.30 expected goals per game while allowing 1.27. Cadiz have far fewer selection concerns, with Iuri Tabatadze ruled out through injury and Giorgi Gocholeishvili and Manuel Rivera listed as doubtful.

Previous visits to Cádiz favour the home side

Recent meetings between these teams have consistently favoured the home side. Sporting Gijon won the most recent encounter 3-0 on 19 April 2026, but Cadiz won both of their previous meetings at JP Financial Estadio, claiming a 3-2 victory on 9 January 2026 and a 1-0 win on 25 April 2025. Across the last four head-to-head fixtures dating back to November 2024, the visiting team has failed to take a single point.

Our model leans narrowly towards a Cadiz win

Our model leans narrowly towards a Cadiz win. The call is grounded in Cadiz's four-goal performance against Leganes and the depth of Sporting Gijon's injury list, which rules out Antonio Casas and four other outfield players despite the visitors sitting 11 places higher in the league table.