Valladolid vs Albacete

Valladolid host Albacete in Segunda División at Estadio José Zorrilla in Valladolid on Monday, 12 October 2026, facing an opponent that has collected one point from eight fixtures this season.

Albacete arrive on one point with six players injured or doubtful

Albacete sit 22nd in the Segunda División table, having recorded one point from eight matches with a minus-ten goal difference. Away from home, they have drawn one and lost three of their four league games, scoring two goals and conceding seven. In their last five outings, Albacete lost 3-1 to Eibar, 2-0 to Girona, and 2-1 to Cordoba, drawing 1-1 at Granada CF after a 2-0 defeat at Castellón.

The visitors also carry multiple selection issues into this fixture. Antonio Puertas, Javi Moreno, Lorenzo Aguado, and Samuel Obeng are out through injury, while Capi and Pepe Sánchez are listed as doubtful. In underlying metrics over their last five matches with chance data, Albacete have conceded 1.84 expected goals per game while generating 1.36.

Valladolid show stronger chance generation at Estadio José Zorrilla

Valladolid enter the round in 16th place with nine points from eight games. At Estadio José Zorrilla, they have recorded two wins and one defeat from three Segunda División fixtures, scoring four goals and conceding four. That run includes a 3-1 win against Cordoba on 27 September 2026 and a 1-0 victory over FC Andorra on 5 September 2026, alongside a 3-0 loss to Oviedo on 13 September 2026.

Most recently, Valladolid drew 2-2 away at Las Palmas on 4 October 2026, following a 1-1 draw at AD Ceuta FC on 20 September 2026. Across their last five matches with available chance data, Valladolid have generated 1.82 expected goals per game and conceded 1.14. Juanmi Latasa leads their scoring with two goals in all competitions, though Dani Pérez and Guille Bueno remain absent with injuries.

Albacete hold an unbeaten recent head-to-head record

Recent meetings between the clubs contrast with current league positions. Albacete have avoided defeat in each of their last four fixtures against Valladolid, winning three. The most recent clash ended in a 1-0 win for Albacete on 24 January 2026, following a 2-0 Albacete victory on 21 September 2025. Prior to that, the sides drew 0-0 on 12 February 2024 after Albacete recorded another 2-0 win on 1 September 2023.

Our model expects a Valladolid win

Our forecasting model expects a Valladolid win, assessing the outcome with medium confidence. The call aligns with Albacete's return of one point from eight matches, their record of three defeats in four away games, and an injury list featuring Antonio Puertas, Javi Moreno, Lorenzo Aguado, and Samuel Obeng. While Albacete won three of the last four meetings between the teams, Valladolid's chance differential of 1.82 expected goals created to 1.14 conceded supports the projection.