Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Eight Missing

Borussia DortmundDOR

Daniel Svensson 80'
Nico Schlotterbeck 85'

Bundesliga

2–2

Full Time

HT 0–0

SIGNAL IDUNA PARK

Dortmund

Werder BremenWER

Ludovit Reis 88'
Niclas Füllkrug 90+2'

AI ForecastsGraded

Borussia Dortmund arrive at Signal Iduna Park with four wins from four, three clean sheets and a squad far deeper in quality than their visitors. Werder Bremen have scored in every league game but conceded eight, and they have not won away from home this season. Niclas Füllkrug…

Match ResultHome Win72%

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High-confidence forecasts have landed 74% of the time this season, over 2,080 graded calls. Track record →

Key facts

Borussia Dortmund have kept the most clean sheets in this competition this season (3)
Niclas Füllkrug has the most shots on target per match for Werder Bremen this season (2.1)
Marco Grüll has created the most big chances for Werder Bremen this season (2)

As they stood before kick-off.

Live ForecastBeta

Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Eight Missing

Published Fri 9 Oct

Bundesliga leaders Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen on Friday, 9 October 2026 at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, where the home side have won both league fixtures without conceding a goal.

Dortmund hold four straight league wins

Borussia Dortmund enter Matchweek 5 at the top of the table with 12 points from four games, scoring nine and conceding twice. Their domestic campaign includes a 2-0 home win over Hamburger SV on 29 August, a 3-2 victory at 1899 Hoffenheim on 5 September, a 3-0 home success against SC Paderborn 07 on 12 September, and a 1-0 away win at VfB Stuttgart on 19 September. Across their last five matches in all competitions—including a 3-2 Champions League win over Villarreal on 8 September—top scorer Serhou Guirassy has delivered four goals. Dortmund create an average of 1.83 expected goals per game while conceding 0.90.

The hosts have four confirmed injuries: Emre Can, Filippo Mane, Giannis Konstantelias, and Justin Lerma are ruled out, while Julian Ryerson and Nico Schlotterbeck are doubtful.

Eight Werder Bremen players ruled out

Werder Bremen sit eighth with seven points from four matches, scoring eight goals and allowing eight. Their away form has yielded one point from two outings: a 4-1 defeat at SC Freiburg on 30 August and a 1-1 draw at 1. FC Köln on 12 September. While they recorded home wins over RB Leipzig (3-1 on 5 September) and FC Augsburg (3-2 on 19 September), their chance metrics show 1.13 expected goals created compared to 1.54 allowed.

Personnel problems hinder the visitors. Eight players are out through injury: Felix Agu, Jens Stage, Justin Njinmah, Keke Topp, Moussa N'Diaye, Salim Musah, Senne Lynen, and Skelly Alvero. Striker Niclas Füllkrug leads Bremen's scoring with three goals in all competitions.

Dortmund won the last two meetings to nil

Borussia Dortmund beat Werder Bremen in both 2026 meetings without conceding, winning 3-0 at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK on 13 January and 2-0 away on 16 May. The prior encounters ended in draws: 2-2 on 25 January 2025 and 0-0 on 31 August 2024, after Dortmund won 2-1 on 9 March 2024.

Our model firmly expects a Borussia Dortmund win

Our model firmly expects a Borussia Dortmund win. The league leaders hold a perfect home record with two wins and zero goals conceded from two games, while Werder Bremen travel without eight injured players and concede more expected goals (1.54 per game) than they create (1.13).