1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Zero Points
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1. FC Köln host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga at RheinEnergieSTADION in Köln on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with the visitors sitting bottom of the table on zero points.
Borussia Mönchengladbach have conceded 16 goals in four defeats
The visitors enter Matchweek 5 having lost all four league fixtures, falling 0-3 away at RB Leipzig, 3-4 at home to SV Elversberg, 0-5 away at SC Freiburg, and 3-4 at home to FSV Mainz 05. Their away record shows two defeats from two outings with zero goals scored and eight conceded. Over their four matches with chance data, Alexander Blessin's side have allowed 2.82 expected goals per game while creating 1.71. Injuries further deplete the squad, with Enzo Leopold, Franck Honorat, Jens Castrop, Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn, and Zento Uno all ruled out, while Hugo Bolin leads their scoring with two goals in all competitions.
1. FC Köln lose Dallinga and Ache to injury
- FC Köln sit 14th in the Bundesliga with four points and a goal difference of minus three. René Wagner's side won 3-2 against 1899 Hoffenheim and drew 1-1 with Werder Bremen in their two league games at RheinEnergieSTADION, but lost 1-4 away at VfB Stuttgart and 1-2 away at Hamburger SV on 19 September 2026. Köln face attacking absences after top scorer Thijs Dallinga, who has two goals, and fellow striker Ragnar Ache sustained injuries. Defenders Timo Hübers and Alessio Castro-Montes are also sidelined through injury. Over their four games with chance data, Köln have generated 1.99 expected goals per game while conceding 1.98.
Köln and Gladbach have shared 18 goals across four meetings
Recent meetings between these rivals have consistently produced high scorelines. On 21 March 2026, the teams drew 3-3 at RheinEnergieSTADION, following a 3-1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach on 8 November 2025. Prior meetings delivered another 3-3 draw on 9 March 2024 and a 3-1 victory for 1. FC Köln on 22 October 2023, totalling 18 goals across their last four clashes.
Our model expects a 1. FC Köln win
Our forecasting model expects a 1. FC Köln win. That call reflects Borussia Mönchengladbach's defensive record of 16 goals conceded and zero away goals scored this season. Although Köln must manage without Dallinga and Ache, an unbeaten home record of one win and one draw at RheinEnergieSTADION gives the hosts an edge over opponents who have lost all four matches.
