Fluminense vs Coritiba: Fluminense Missing Six Players
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Fluminense meet Coritiba in Serie A on Friday, 9 October 2026, at Estádio do Maracanã in Rio de Janeiro, with the hosts carrying a record of 10 wins from 14 home league matches.
Fluminense manage six absences including John Kennedy
Fluminense sit fifth in Serie A with 48 points from 28 games, having scored 44 and conceded 36. They won 3-1 away at Corinthians on 20 September 2026, but entering this match they are without six players. Top scorer John Kennedy, who has scored nine goals in all competitions this season, is sidelined by injury alongside Germán Cano, Alisson, and Renê. Agustín Canobbio and Nonato are also unavailable through suspension.
At Estádio do Maracanã, Fluminense have remained resilient in league play. They have recorded 10 wins, three draws, and one loss in 14 home matches, scoring 24 goals and allowing 14. Across their last five fixtures with chance data, Fluminense generated an average of 1.22 expected goals per game while conceding 1.46.
Coritiba surrender eight goals in two matches
Coritiba enter the match in ninth place with 38 points and a goal difference of minus six. Their away record in Serie A stands at five wins, four draws, and five losses from 14 matches, with 18 goals scored and 24 conceded.
Recent defensive difficulties have challenged the visitors. Coritiba suffered a 5-0 away defeat at Vasco da Gama on 19 September 2026, following a 3-3 home draw with Atletico Paranaense on 12 September. Over their last five games with tracking data, Coritiba allowed an average of 2.31 expected goals per match while generating 1.14. They travel without Brian Ocampo, Lucas Ronier, and Tinga, all ruled out through injury. Pedro Rocha leads their attack with eight goals this season in all competitions.
Head-to-head records show parity in the most recent encounters. The sides played out a 1-1 draw on 4 April 2026, while Fluminense earned a 2-1 victory in November 2023 after Coritiba won 2-0 in July 2023.
Our model firmly expects a Fluminense win
Our forecasting model firmly expects a Fluminense win. Fluminense have lost only once at home in 14 Serie A matches this season, while Coritiba have conceded eight goals across their last two league games and conceded 2.31 expected goals per game over their last five matches with recorded data.
