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We forecast football matches with statistical models, then publish how those forecasts did. Not financial or betting advice.

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UEFA Nations League — How Our Predictions Did (page 6)

Track Record/UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

82%

High confidence

LandedClaimed

82%76%

106 of 129 graded

Matches graded: 104
Forecasts graded: 728
All forecasts: 52%

Tier readout

High

82% / 76106/129

Med

64% / 60137/214

Low

35% / 38136/385

By outcome

7

Two-Outcome Result

84% / 80

Total Goals

63% / 59

First Team to Score

62% / 59

Both Teams Score

Results feed

104

24.09Kosovo 1–0 Republic of Ireland

6 of 7 forecasts correct6/7 24.09Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania

UEFA Nations League table and fixtures →

58% / 56

Match Result

56% / 55

Half-time / Full-time

33% / 35

Final Scoreline

10% / 13

5 of 7 forecasts correct

5/7

24.09Portugal 1–0 Wales

5 of 7 forecasts correct5/7

24.09Andorra 1–2 Malta

2 of 7 forecasts correct2/7

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